Construction cranes in Vancouver skyline – foreign buyer ban impact study

Ban or Build? When Protection Backfires: How Canada’s Foreign Buyer Ban May Be Deepening the Housing Crisis!

By Shirin Saleh, Managing Broker | 88West Realty

When I meet with developers, investors, and homeowners across Greater Vancouver, a single question keeps rising above the noise: Has Canada’s “foreign buyer ban” truly helped make homes more affordable? Or just slowed down the people building them?

A Policy Driven by Frustration

In 2023, Canada introduced the Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non‑Canadians Act, effectively banning most foreign buyers from purchasing homes. The policy arrived in the heat of an affordability crisis.   When headlines screamed about bidding wars, record prices, and fears that offshore money was pushing Canadians out of their own markets.

It was a politically easy message: protect Canadian homes for Canadians. But two years later, the results tell a more complicated story.

According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), foreign ownership in major Canadian cities was already low before the ban,  3% of total housing stock. Yet housing affordability continued to deteriorate after the ban took effect. Prices dipped briefly in 2024, but construction starts plunged, and new projects stalled as developers lost investor confidence and early‑stage financing.

Unintended Consequences. When Protection Becomes Paralysis

The B.C. Real Estate Association’s (BCREA) latest Market Intelligence Report shows unsold new homes at a 30‑year high, largely in the multi‑family sector. Developers report that weaker pre‑sales have made financing nearly impossible.

Meanwhile, CMHC warns that Canada needs 3.5 million additional homes by 2030 to restore affordability. But completing those homes takes capital, the very fuel that policy has shut off. The result? An affordability policy that, ironically, threatens affordability itself.

Industry leaders are noticing. In early 2026, a group of real‑estate developers signed an open letter urging the federal government to reconsider the foreign buyer ban, arguing that it’s “symbolic more than structural.” Without investor confidence, hundreds of planned projects risk delay or cancellation.  This is an outcome that impacts not just housing supply, but GDP, jobs, and trade.

Global Comparisons

Canada isn’t alone in facing this housing dilemma, but other countries have taken more targeted approaches:

  • New Zealand banned most foreign home purchases in 2018; yet prices still climbed 30–47% over the next three years, showing that restrictions alone can’t curb escalation.
  • Australia took a “supply‑first” strategy, allowing foreign buyers to purchase only new construction. This effectively turned offshore capital into a funding source for large‑scale apartment projects that domestic buyers couldn’t have sustained.
  • Singapore imposed steep taxes instead of a ban. Its 60% Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty now discourages speculation while generating billions to fund local housing programs.
  • Hong Kong, meanwhile, scrapped nearly all its property curbs in 2024, restoring market liquidity and keeping major developments alive amid a tough economy.

Economic Reality: A Ban on Investment Is a Ban on Growth

Real estate and construction account for nearly 14% of Canada’s GDP (Statistics Canada, 2025). Even a modest 5% slowdown in new development ripples across trades, labor, materials, and municipal tax bases.

Developers are clear: without predictable rules and stable investors, cranes stop moving. And when cranes stop, so do some starts; intensifying the shortage and pushing prices even higher for the very Canadians the policy aims to protect.

Learning From the Lag, A Canadian Crossroads

Extending the ban through 2027 might score quick political points, but the long game demands different thinking. Instead of banning capital, we could direct it into purpose‑built rentals, affordable housing partnerships, and infrastructure that expands supply,  not just competition.

Foreign capital can fund job creation, housing diversity, and regional growth when guided responsibly.

My Take: Time to Build, Not Blame

We can’t fix affordability by freezing out the very mechanisms that create supply. Homes become attainable when we build consistently through economic cycles, not in sporadic bursts between policy shifts.  It’s time to move from ban to build.